知道了有钱的好,就知道了没钱的不好,而且很难再适应
                不要和我比,因为你和我比的,未必就是我在乎的。

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  谈股论金——这回轮到谁倒霉!

谈股论金——这次轮到谁倒霉?

 

 

     96年的那一波股市行情到现在也有10年了,我们的股市经过这10年的变化,很多东西从无到有,许多制度从疏漏到规范,可以说已经取得了阶段性的成长。这成长好象不关我们老百姓什么事,但是它老跳将出来刺激你的眼球,你不为它说几句话,还真好象对不起它那卖力的秀了。

 

这股市多年的寂寞后,现在好似又找着了北,开始放量的突飞猛进了。10年前股市高歌的时候忽悠了许多人,现在高歌了,是不是也还在忽悠大家呢?可以肯定的回答是,没错,最后还是要你掏钱填洞,只不过这次忽悠的目标不光是我们老百姓了,里面还包括了怀揣4000亿人民币等着赌你本币升值的老外。

 

     老外可是不好忽悠的,要忽悠他们?而且是丑名昭著的中国股市!这容易吗?中国的国营企业赢利能力有多少?科技含量有多少?企业人才有多少?一年的净利润有多少?难道老外不懂吗?别人做起研究来,都会派个人蹲你仓库看你的实际出入,那个认真劲,要忽悠他们,就象一个初出茅庐的小毛孩要忽悠一个有着几百年市场经济经验的老手一样!这是多大的魄力呀!需要多大的能耐呀。这样的话,我们就不禁要问,这忽悠能成吗?

 

没错,在面对一个不缺精算师的对手来说,要忽悠他们,的确很难,但是同时,也不要小看咱中国人的忽悠本事,就象我常说的,不要小看政府的宏观调控能力一样!别忘了,我们是社会主义国家,钱都是大家的,要忽悠老外我们绝对可以不记回报的下重本!你不是说我们企业赢利能力有问题吗?法国电视亏是不?别担心我买了,美国石油企业算什么,就讨厌你们这些老外寒酸样,为了什么政治,出了这么高的价钱,竟然还不肯卖!说我们科技含量不够?哼,短视,发个载人卫星给你瞧瞧,再给个登月计划表给你看看,科技够高的了吧?当然如果提前忽悠成,那么就仅仅是计划了啊。再说到人才,哟,我们一个扫地的,都有许多毕业的大学生去应聘呢,跑腿的工作没硕士学历你还别来,当然你硬是要说成是失业率高,我也给你解释一下在中国没有失业,只有下岗。

 

不管老外如何看待我们家,咱们可以硬是把什么福利呀,医疗呀,教育呀,环境保护呀等等未能解决的内部问题,全部用花园呀,广场啊,办公大楼呀,甚至是新区呀等等外衣全部掩盖住,一边只给老外看“挤的屁”(GDP),一边对着自己和别人催眠,“咱形式大好,咱形式大好~~~~~”,连以前经济差的时候出现的5乱都整治完毕了,多大的进步呀!至于那些10年来收入没有多大增长,生活水平没有多大提高,为房子和小孩教育发愁,为生老病死无奈的人,你也只能先到论坛来发发牢骚,别到处唱说给老外知道了,影响那投资不说,还影响咱们的形象,我们还要办奥运的嘛!都是给大家挣脸的事对不对?

 

总之,放卫星的本事,咱可拿手得很!

 

在这么多卫星的环绕下,中国那幼稚的企业,开始期盼在老外身上找点钱了,包装得这么好,尽管骗不了曾经受骗的广大股民,但至少可以忽悠一下不懂中国股市特征的老外,万一如果成,说不定现在那些买基金的小市民们,最后也会忍不住了再次光顾了呢?原来只能忽悠自己人的口袋,现在可以连老外的口袋一起忽悠了,多好的事情啊!

 

在一片盛世的喧闹里,那些在石油上挣了中国大钱的老外们,貌似就揣着那利润中的一小部分,也就是区区500亿美金来排队了,他们号称等着进入中国金融界,分享中国金融改革的成果。纷纷说中国是世界的发动机,中国是崛起的负责任的大国等等,而我们也一直认为金融风暴中的损失和石油贸易中的失算是因为我们对这个世界所负的责任!

 

那现在老外马屁和面子都给够了,钱还等着进来,我们的经济和股市还担心什么呢?所以也就有了这波“行情”,瞧今天那几百亿天量算什么,过段时间给你个1000亿成交量看看,这就是中国人的本事。你老外不是等着要进来吗?那我先把价钱抬高了,明明50倍的市赢率,我抬到60好不?不!太少了,抬到100吧,你老外接也得接,不接也没有办法。房地产都不给搞了,你不搞股市你搞什么?钱进来都要经过银行,行情就先从银行开始吧!工商银行照这样的升法,很快就会是全世界最值钱的银行,因为它是现代中国的银行。古代中国辉煌的时候,满城都是黄金,到了现代中国辉煌的时候,还不得满城的世界大银行吗?!花旗是谁呀。

 

其实都说了老外不缺精算师了,那些钱能赚多少早就有了大致的结论,明明知道咱们要忽悠他们,为什么还要睁只眼闭只眼的来呢?嘿!那老外精明得很,那钱原本不都是你的吗?你给我打工的价值其实是10美金的,而我只给你一元的报酬,还是人民币,我还有9个多美金的利润呢!现在我拿利润中的那点点来买你的股票,你升吧,怎么升我都买,因为你这人民币一升值,再烂的企业我卖掉也可以翻本。何况现在我买的都是你们的蓝筹!就算亏也亏不了我的本。老外不怕亏,那么这回行情倒霉的会是谁?

 

如果说老外不怕亏,那就让他们来吧,何况现在也只是说说,来不来还要谈谈,这不妨碍我们继续把股市抬高啊!这老外不是还没来吗?奥运不也是08年的事情吗?怎么现在就天量了呀?那不是废话吗?现在不天量还什么时候天量呀,你不把那些饼画好,谁会在这些年内的刚刚愈合的伤疤中忘记痛呀!咱们那烂人寿股票怎么卖个天价呀?还有本人一年前卖掉房子放进股市的那百来万怎么变成超额利润的现金呀?中国股市再怎么烂,也要撑到07年底吧,不然对不起世界级的观众!所以手上有现金的还不赶快进仓?没现金的还不赶快想办法找现金去搏傻?都吸了这么久的筹,老外不来也会有火星人来,奥运不办也会有校运会,总之股市给个信心你升就是了。

 

反正等大家都满仓了,个个伸长脖子等老外来做冤大头的时候,他们才会最终让老百姓的知道,这回轮到谁倒霉!


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2006年12月30日 03:31 星期六 晴
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  fenly被推荐至博客首页的部分博文      [全部]

  文章评论
以下网友留言只代表其个人观点,不代表时空网的观点或立场
花间酒:游客1914、吃饱就等死、雨景木人这几位评论的是精品
2007-8-31 16:00:51 主页 219.159.69.*

[游客86111]:有一个核心的观点需要更正的,那就是这波行情的始作俑者是日本和美国的对冲资金,也就是说真正的外资早已经在1000点时候介入了,现在是傻瓜的中国10万亿银行贮蓄资金接盘的时候了。有机会给你讲讲去年3月份以来外资是通过什么途径进来的
2007-1-28 19:30:17 220.173.25.*

[游客28935]:哈~~你真行.....股市你也搀和进来...
2007-1-24 1:07:50 222.216.4.*

fenly:有一个网友说得好,谁也不是专家。
2007-1-10 3:30:42 主页 222.216.94.*

[游客16468]:96 years despite the fluctuation of the stock market, there are now 10, our stock market after 10 years of changes a lot of things from scratch, many loopholes in the system, to regulate, can be said to have achieved its initial growth. This growth does not seem to concern the people what had happened, but it will jump out old stimulate your eye, you did not say a few words to it. I am sorry that it seems really keen on the show. This lonely years of the stock market, now appears to the north has been discovered to begin the rapid development of the Merchant. A Few Words About Huyou stock market came 10 years ago when many people, the ministry, is also still Few Words About Huyou us? Sure the answer is yes, you have to pay to finally fill the holes. A Few Words About Huyou but this is not only the goal of our people. which also carries a gamble you waiting for the 400 billion yuan RMB appreciation foreigners. A Few Words About Huyou of the non-poor, A Few Words About Huyou them? China's stock market is trying ugly! This easy? China's state-run enterprises have profitability? Technological content? Enterprise talents? Net income a year? Are foreigners do not understand? Others start to research, you squat warehouse will send you the actual entry, that serious efforts must Few Words About Huyou them. A Few Words About Huyou as a novice to the Xiaomaohai a market economy has experienced veteran like several hundred years! This is how much courage! How much talent the country needs. This is the case, then we must ask, A Few Words About Huyou become? Yes, no shortage of actuaries in the face of an opponent, to A Few Words About Huyou them, it is difficult, but at the same time. A Few Words About Huyou Chinese people should not underestimate our own ability, as I often say, we should not overlook the government's macro-control capabilities. After all, we are a socialist country, all the money, we can certainly not be credited to A Few Words About Huyou foreigners heavily in the return! Do you want us to a profitable enterprise? French TV losses is not? Do not worry, I have bought a United States oil companies What, we hate you watch someone like that to any political, a high price, it has not sell! Our technology enough? Humph, short, fat manned satellite to your windows, landing on the moon program for months to give you a look at the technology are high enough now? Of course, if advance Few Words About Huyou%, then it is only a plan ah. Coming back to the people, yo, we have a discredited, there are many university graduates to candidates? run errands work is not a master's degree do not come to you, of course, you simply want to say is a high rate of unemployment. I would also like to explain unemployment in China has not only laid off. No matter how foreigners look at our family, our welfare what can be forced to die, medical ah, ah, Environmental Protection failed to solve the country's internal problems and so forth, all garden die, the square ah, ah office. it is a new or cover up all over the country, etc., only to foreigners, while "squeezing the fart" (GDP). Hypnosis and others on their side, "Our excellent form, our own form of large 好~~~~~" Even before the economic downturn when the chaos all five of the rectification process, little progress! For those 10 years is not much revenue growth, improve living standards is not much to worry about the house and kids education. helpless people to death, you can first forum to day, not to foreigners know that the singing everywhere, It does not affect the investment that has affected our image, we need to hosting the Olympics! We earned the right to face are wrong? In short, the ability of the satellite up, both sides can be very good at! In the face of so many around the satellite, which China's fledgling enterprises, foreigners began to look forward to try to get money in the package so well. Despite being majority shareholders had not cheated, but at least Few Words About Huyou what foreigners do not understand the characteristics of China's stock market. If into the event, maybe now those people who bought the fund and ultimately could not buy again? A Few Words About Huyou original people's pockets can now be together Few Words About Huyou even in the pockets of foreigners, many good things! In the midst of the hubbub noon, in oil on the foreigners who made a fortune in China. Inside it looks like on a small portion of the profits, that is District 50 billion dollars to the queue. they wait to enter China's financial sector claims to share the fruits of China's financial reform. China is the engine of the world have said that the rise of China is a responsible big country and so on. We have always said the financial crisis and the loss of oil trade miscalculation because we have the responsibility to the world! Now, foreigners face shining the boots and gave enough, Qian waiting for them, we also worry about the economy and stock market? So, it has this bout of "Indonesia", and see this amount of days that tens of billions of dollars. over time you have to look at 100 billion turnover, which is the Chinese people have the ability. You are not waiting for foreigners to enter the market? I first raise the price, it's clear the city win rate 50 times, I brought the 60 wealthy? ! Too, brought the 100 bars, You Are Old external have to accept, or not do. Not to engage in real estate, stock you not to engage you doing? Go through the money in banks in Indonesia on the first banks started! If this Act or the Industrial and Commercial Bank, will soon be the world's most valuable bank, the Bank of China because it is modern. Ancient China's glorious time, and the city is equivalent to the glories of modern China, The World Bank is also not the city? ! Citigroup is doing what. In fact, no shortage of actuaries say a foreigner, how much money there was the general conclusion is profitable, A Few Words About Huyou they should clearly know that our, why keep turning a blind eye to the eye? No, that is nothing. That very shrewd foreigner, it was not all your money? You give me 10 dollars is the value of the wage, and I give you only pay one yuan, or renminbi. I have more than nine dollars in profits! Now, I take that little bit of the profits to buy your stock, you or bars, or how I buy, because you RMB revaluation Black sold the business again, I can wait. Besides, I bought the blue chips are you! Even if the losses are not the losses. Foreigners are not afraid of losses, it is back to Indonesia who will be hurt? If foreigners are not afraid of losses, then let them come, when there is merely talk, but also talk about coming. This does not prevent the stock market, we continue to raise! This is not yet to foreigners? Olympic is also a 08-year event? Now how on the day the amount you? It is not nonsense? Now is not the volume of day volume days when you see that you do not paint those cakes. Who will heal the scars of these years were just forget the pain! Black Life then sell our stock how dramatic way? I have to sell the house into the stock market a year ago that the excess profits into how 100 million in cash to you? China's stock market again how rotten, but also hold out until the end of 0907 bars, or a world-class audience Sorry! Jin-cang cash is not yet in hand so quickly? No cash is not cash quickly to try to find ways to find silly? Absorb all the chips for so long, not to foreigners will be Martian, the Olympic Games will not run a school athletic meet. In short you have confidence in the stock market or months to the grindstone. Anyway so we have a warehouse full, all stretched its neck and other foreigners to do the ride, They will finally let people see that it's Sheidaomei turn back!
2007-1-9 17:55:12 222.216.175.*

[游客43915]:炒完楼市到股市!!!中国人的拿手好戏。。不过谁现在想进股市,那就太不明智了。。
2007-1-5 0:14:06 222.84.0.*

[游客1914]:这篇文章 = 集体智慧 = 网络写手 = 结晶
2007-1-4 10:59:29 222.216.169.*

[游客71326]:“石笑”。。。。看你的言论就知道是个不懂装懂之辈,你最后那句话是好话,只不过你本人却体会不深。。
2007-1-4 2:48:58 211.161.9.*

[游客61283]:抄书都没有抄好!!
2007-1-3 23:35:38 222.216.148.*

[游客57244]:股市那个黑不是一般人能想象的
2007-1-3 22:14:06 124.227.122.*

石笑: fenly本来是写着玩的,一家之言,用得着那么认真吗,鄙视那些只知道批评别人的游客。
我看不懂中国股市,不过知道一点,那就是,咱老百姓始终是弱者,从来都是被别人牵着鼻子走,不管你现在帐面上赚了多少,到最后稍不注意就会赔个精光。至于老外呢,咱拿不准,不过估计不是傻子,他们是最了解中国国情的,有些外资公司行贿起来比咱中国人有过之无不及,看他们到中国来投资,一个个赚得盆满钵圆的,咱估摸着他们也不是省油的灯吧,能给你骗一次就不错了。
fenly不是专家,所以不用拿专家的标准来要求她,我们也不是专家,因此不要拿专家的眼光看别人。在中国,所谓的股评专家大都是拍马屁专家,某某股票的代理发言人而已。
人不怕无知,可怕的是不知道自己无知,倘若不知道自己无知还要乱去批评别人,就显得可怜了。
2007-1-3 16:39:04 主页 58.59.192.*

雨景木人:我唯一敬佩你的是敢写敢说.
当然,不管是对的,是错的。
或者你想说,我只想表达自己的观点,如何了?
其实想想,确实也没有什么.
一家之言,无需入心.
2007-1-3 14:51:22 主页 222.216.144.*

[游客96072]:中国2010年内发生金融危机的几率是99%。
楼上,我看不出这篇文章从哪里体现出来的知识丰富。没有有理有据的技术和数据分析,满目尽是无谓的调侃。体现的不过是暴发户对金融的妄论、无知、浅薄。
2007-1-3 4:53:24 211.161.10.*

雨景木人:这篇FENLY你就绝对说错了。
只能说明你不明白中国股市。
而且,工行的价值浮升,不仅单是因为要吸引国外投资者的钱,重要的是中国政府的一个战略。
2007-1-2 9:26:19 主页 222.216.148.*

[游客57441]:分析到了重点!一切都是庄家!
2007-1-1 16:40:23 222.216.89.*

[游客37219]:这个世界真奇怪,一些声称很懂的人不写,却单薄的抨击别人的文章。就象什么呢,街头那些乞丐,总是说,鱼翅你是不懂的,和你交流都没有必要。真见不得这些无知的混帐。
2007-1-1 8:29:35 222.216.89.*

[游客85300]: 再一次完美的体现了你的妒忌心里
2006-12-31 18:46:41 58.59.194.*

吃饱就等死:整体上,你的认识片面化,以偏僻盖全面。

局部上,你更象一个种菜的在谈养猪的方法和经验。完全不得要领。

不过不看过程只看结论的话,到符合现在的主流意思,股市是凶。

其实你不要从专业角度去分析经济和政治问题会好很多,因为从专业角度来看你对经济、政治和社会问题的观念和知识,实在连和你交流的必要都没有。
2006-12-31 2:02:09 主页 58.59.156.*

[游客13958]:写得好
2006-12-30 20:51:12 222.216.43.*

[游客63646]:除了吹牛的毛病不好,知识还是挺丰富,分析地也较透彻,但中国股市的变化不是谁能看的透,摸的清的.老外不是一样死在国人手里.比如索罗斯.那么大的腕也不行.
2006-12-30 10:20:25 211.141.200.*


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